Uneori, micile lucruri din marile povesti va atrag atentia. Luni, Washington Post a difuzat prima dintre cele trei piese adaptate din noua carte a lui Bob Woodward, Obama’s Wars , un raport clar al modului in care inalta comanda americana l-a bifat pe comandantul-sef in cele mai mici colturi afgane. Ca o ilustratie, Postul a inclus un grafic pe care armata l-a oferit presedintelui Obama in cadrul unei reuniuni cheie din noiembrie 2009 pentru a revizui politica de razboi. Acesta a surprins pe scurt „solutia” favorizata pentru razboiul afgan al celor responsabili de combaterea lui – amiralul Mike Mullen, presedintele sefilor de stat comun, generalul David Petraeus, comandantul de atunci al Centcom, generalul Stanley McChrystal, apoi afgan Comandantul de razboi si secretarul apararii, Robert Gates, printre altele. escorte ghencea carmatsindia.com
Etichetat “Misiunea alternativa in Afganistan”, este un clasic al indeplinirii dorintelor vizuale. In jurul acesteia se afla o linie verde in crestere, care reprezinta puterea crescanda a fortelor afgane, militare si politie, subliniate notoriu, in timp ce se indreapta catre un obiectiv teoretic de 400.000 – un „stat final” improbabil, date fiind ratele actuale de dezertare. Sub aceasta traiectorie verde a succesului putativ se afla o linie de curbare albastra modesta, herky-jerky, reprezentand cele 40. escorte bucuresti mature www.joserodriguez.com 000 de militari americani Gates, Petraeus, Mullen si compania care il presau pe presedinte sa se suprapuna in Afganistan.
Detaliul atragator a fost insa intalnirea pe grafic. Candva intre 2013 si 2016, potrivit unei linii albe punctate (care a lasat o multime de spatiu pentru eroare), aceste forte de supraveghere din SUA ar fi atrase in mod radical suficient pentru a se scufunda undeva mai jos – nu patati – nivelul de 68.000. escorte falticeni metees.com Cu alte cuvinte, acum trei – sase ani, daca toate s-au desfasurat asa cum era planificat – o probabilitate radicala, avand in vedere Razboiul afgan pana in prezent – SUA s-ar putea intoarce din nou la nivelurile de forta de la inceputul anului 2009, inainte de lansarea celui de-al doilea razboi al presedintelui. (Cand Obama a intrat in functie, erau doar 31.000 de militari americani in Afganistan.)
Si cand s-ar diminua acele trupe aproape de zero? 2019? 2025? Producatorii de grafica au fost mult prea politici pentru a include anii de dupa 1 ianuarie 2016, asa ca nu avem cum sa stim. servicii escorte www.bestonlinecare.net Dar uitati-va la aceasta diagrama si intrebati-va: Exista vreo indoiala ca inalta noastra comanda, civila si militara, visau si recomanda cel mai puternic presedintelui, un razboi pentru totdeauna – unul pe care Oficiul de Buget si Management estimeaza ca ar costa aproape 900 miliarde de dolari?
Desigur, asa cum stim acum, militarii „au pierdut” aceasta batalie. In loc de cele 40.000 de trupe pe care si le-au dorit, au obtinut „doar” 30.000 de la un presedinte frustrat (in plus, cateva mii de trupe de sprijin, secretarul Apararii a fost lasat sa intre si unele forte de operatiuni speciale pe care nimeni nu depune eforturi mari sa le numere, si sa nu uitati acele trupe in plus izbute din NATO, precum si micii aliati care, pentru un pret, nu puteau spune nu – toate acestea insumand o cifra suspecta aproape de 10. escorte web mberendes.filmsalesltd.com 000 de presedinti, care au negat oficial comandantii sai de razboi ).
Cand, la 1 decembrie 2009, Barack Obama s-a adresat cadetelor din West Point si, prin intermediul lor, restul dintre noi, pentru a anunta cea de-a doua ascensiune a presedintiei sale, el a fost cel putin in masura sa alunece intr-o data pentru a incepe extragerea SUA. forte. („Dar luate impreuna, aceste trupe suplimentare americane si internationale ne vor permite sa acceleram predarea responsabilitatii fortelor afgane si ne vor permite sa incepem transferul fortelor noastre din Afganistan in iulie 2011. escorte beclean theotherwhere.com ”) Cu greu a trecut o nanosecunda. , inainte – primul „pe fundal” si destul de curand in purtatorii de cuvant ai administratiei publice s-au grabit sa linisteasca restul Washingtonului ca un astfel de transfer va fi „bazat pe conditii”. Date fiind conditiile din 2001, nu tocmai o declaratie linistitoare.
Intre timp, cu cateva zile inainte de discurs, comandantul afgan de razboi, McChrystal, era deja greu la munca, intinzand perioada de tragere a presedintelui. escorte ramnicu valcea www.dlbicking.com Ar fi sustinut, ar fi inceput „candva inainte de 2013.” Mai recent, generalul comandant de razboi afgan, generalul David Petraeus, a asigurat in repetate randuri pe toata lumea ca niciunul dintre aceste discutii despre tragere nu se va adauga la un deal de fasole.
Mai mult, niciodata mai putin
Sa tinem minte doua lucruri aici: cat de inguste au fost optiunile pe care le-a avut in vedere presedintele si cat de mare a fost tensiunea pe care a lansat-o cu reticenta. Pana la sfarsitul toamnei 2009, la Washington se stia ca „revizuirea” razboiului afgan al administratiei a dezbatut in mod fierbinte o „optiune” mai mica, doar cele care implica „mai mult”. bbw escorte legendsbk.info
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Acum, datorita Woodward, putem pune numere definitive acestor optiuni. Cea mai mica dintre optiunile „mai multe” a fost strategia „contra-terorism-plus” a vicepresedintelui Biden, axata pe mai multi instructori pentru politia si politia afgana, plus atacuri de drona si operatiuni ale Fortelor Speciale. A implicat o crestere de 20.000 de militari americani. escorte ialomita allisonacoustics.com Potrivit lui Woodward, comandantii militari, presedintele sefilor comuni,
The military’s chosen option was for those 40,000 troops and an emphasis on counterinsurgency. Between them lay a barely distinguishable 30,000-35,000 option. The only other option mentioned during the review process involved a surge of 85,000, and it, too, was ruled out by the military because troops in that quantity simply weren’t available. This, then, was the full “range” of debate in Washington about the Afghan War. curve escorte prismfund.net No wonder the president, according to Woodward, exclaimed in anger, “So what’s my option? You have given me one option.”
De asemenea, este important sa ne amintim ca aceasta runda de chirurgie a implicat mult mai mult decat acele 30.000 de trupe si diverse complimente. La urma urmei, „presedintele” – si cand cititi Woodward, va intrebati daca un presedinte modern nu este, in multe privinte, pur si simplu un prizonier din Washington – a reusit, de asemenea, sa surge personalul CIA, departamentul de stat triplu, USAID si altele personal civil si extinderea corpului antreprenorilor privati. escorte de evitat theyarespunky.com
Perhaps more significant, that December the president and his key advisors set the Af/Pak War — to use the new term of that moment — on an ever-widening gyre. Among other things, that escalation included a significant acceleration in U.S. base-building activity which has yet to end; a massive increase in the CIA’s drone war over the Pakistani tribal borderlands (a quadrupling of attacks since the last year of the Bush administration, including at least 22 attacks launched this September, the most yet in a month); a recent uptick in Air Force bombing activity over Afghanistan (which General McChrystal actually cut back for a while), an increase in Special Operations activity throughout Afghanistan; and an increase in border crossings into Pakistan. escorte de lux constanta deviceforce.com
The last of these, in particular, reflects the increasing frustration of American commanders fighting a war going badly in Afghanistan in which key enemies have sanctuaries across the border. Thanks to Woodward’s book, we now know that, in 2002, the Bush administration allowed the CIA to organize a secret Afghan ”paramilitary army,” modeled after the U.S. Special Forces and divided into “counterterrorist pursuit teams. escorte luxury rahnimaja.westfair.biz “ Three thousand in all, these irregulars have operated as proxy fighters and assassins in Afghanistan — and, in the Obama era, they have evidently also been venturing into the Pakistani tribal borderlands where those CIA drone attacks are already part of everyday life. In addition, just days ago, U.S. helicopters upped the ante in the first of two such incidents by venturing across the same border to attack retreating Taliban fighters in what U. escorte publi24 sibiu samui.com S. military spokespeople have termed ”self-defense,” but what was known in the Vietnam era as “hot pursuit.”
In addition, U.S. escorte ploiesti site:nimfomane.com plube.com military commanders, the New York Times reports, are threatening worse. (“As evidence of the growing frustration of American officials, Gen. David H. Petraeus, the top American commander in Afghanistan, has recently issued veiled warnings to top Pakistani commanders that the United States could launch unilateral ground operations in the tribal areas should Pakistan refuse to dismantle the militant networks in North Waziristan, according to American officials. escorte bucuresri hik-onlin.com
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“) In the next year, that label “Af/Pak” could come into its own as a war-fighting reality.
All of this is, of course, part of the unspoken Pentagon doctrine of forever war. And lest you think that the 2016 date for an Afghan drawdown was a one-of-a-kind bit of planning, consider this line from a recent New York Times report by Michael Gordon and John Burns on Pentagon anxiety over the new British government’s desire to cut defense spending by up to 20%: “American and British officials said that they did not expect any cutbacks to curtail Britain’s capabilities to fight in Afghanistan over the next five years.” Let that sink in for a moment: “over the next five years. escorte de lux sibiu everel.com “ It obviously reflects the thinking of anonymous officials of some significance and, if you do the modest math, you once again find yourself more or less at January 1, 2016. In a just released Rolling Stone interview, even the President can be found saying, vaguely but ominously, of the Afghan War: “[I]t’s going to take us several years to work through this issue.”
Or consider the three $100 million bases (or parts of bases) that Walter Pincus of the Washington Post reported the Pentagon is now preparing to build in Afghanistan. These, he adds, won’t be ready for use until, at best, “later in 2011,” well after the Obama troop drawdown is set to begin. escorte publi24 deva fewfcu.net According to Noah Shachtman of the Danger Room blog, one $100 million upgrade for a future Special Operations headquarters in northern Afghanistan, when done, will include: a “communications building, Tactical Operations Center, training facility, medical aid station, Vehicle Maintenance Facility… dining facility, laundry facility, and a kennel to support working dogs… Supporting facilities include roads, power production system and electrical distribution, water well, non-potable water production, water storage, water distribution, sanitary sewer collection system, communication manhole/duct system, curbs, walkways, drainage, and parking. Additionally, the project will include site preparation and compound security measures to include guard towers.”
A State of War to the Horizon
Tell me: Does this sound like a military getting ready to leave town any time soon?
And don’t forget the $1.3 billion in funds pending in Congress that Pincus tells us the Pentagon has requested “for multiyear construction of military facilities in Afghanistan. experientele unei escorte online simkotel.net “ We’re obviously talking 2012 to 2015 here, too. Or how about the $6.2 billion a year that the Pentagon is projected to spend on the training of Afghan forces from 2012 through 2016? Or what about the Pentagon contract TomDispatch’s Nick Turse dug up that was awarded to private contractor SOS International primarily for translators with an estimated completion date of September 2014? Or how about the gigantic embassy-cum-command-center-cum-citadel (modeled on the U.S. olx escorte carezz.com embassy in Baghdad, now the largest in the world) which the Obama administration has decided to build in Islamabad, Pakistan?
And let’s not leave out the Army’s incessant planning for the distant future embodied in a recently published report, “Operating Concept, 2016-2028,” overseen by Brigadier General H.R. McMaster, a senior advisor to Gen. David Petraeus. escorte in arad xbi.hoagsummerfestival.com It opts to ditch “Buck Rogers” visions of futuristic war, and instead to imagine counterinsurgency operations, grimly referred to as “wars of exhaustion,” in one, two, many Afghanistans to the distant horizon.
So here’s one way to think about all this: like people bingeing on anything, the present Pentagon and military cast of characters can’t stop themselves. They really can’t. The thought that in Afghanistan or anywhere else they might have to go on a diet, as sooner or later they will, is deeply unnerving. Forever war is in their blood, so much so that they’re ready to face down the commander-in-chief, if necessary, to make it continue. This is really the definition of an addiction — not to victory, but to the state of war itself. Don’t expect them to discipline themselves. They won’t.
[Note for readers: You can read the Army’s full “Operating Concept, 2016-2028, by clicking here (.pdf format). Fair warning, interesting as it may be, it’s not written in recognizable English.]
Copyright 2010 Tom Engelhardt
